We do have an on record prediction from Yudkowsky, actually: in 1999 he predicted that drexler-style nanotech would arrive in 2010 (using some quite embarrassing reasoning, if I may comment as a physicist). He was also predicting that nanotech would “powerful enough to destroy the planet”, which is why he wanted to build the singularity himself, something he thought the singularity institute could accomplish by 2008.
This seems to be an instance of crying wolf by literally the exact same person that is crying wolf today.
Yudkowsky explicitly repudiates his writing from 2001 or earlier:
You should regard anything from 2001 or earlier as having been written by a different person who also happens to be named “Eliezer Yudkowsky”. I do not share his opinions.
We do have an on record prediction from Yudkowsky, actually: in 1999 he predicted that drexler-style nanotech would arrive in 2010 (using some quite embarrassing reasoning, if I may comment as a physicist). He was also predicting that nanotech would “powerful enough to destroy the planet”, which is why he wanted to build the singularity himself, something he thought the singularity institute could accomplish by 2008.
This seems to be an instance of crying wolf by literally the exact same person that is crying wolf today.
Yudkowsky explicitly repudiates his writing from 2001 or earlier:
This is assuming the conclusion, of course.