One EMH-obeying way you can estimate whether the “market” expects a startup to grow is tracking the valuation:# employees ratio. Startups that are highly valued per capita means either each employee is already responsible for a lot of revenue growth (with some asterisks) or the market expects large revenue growth.
This isn’t helpful if you want a large payout, but is very helpful from a career capital perspective, assuming billzito’s model is correct.
One EMH-obeying way you can estimate whether the “market” expects a startup to grow is tracking the valuation:# employees ratio. Startups that are highly valued per capita means either each employee is already responsible for a lot of revenue growth (with some asterisks) or the market expects large revenue growth.
This isn’t helpful if you want a large payout, but is very helpful from a career capital perspective, assuming billzito’s model is correct.