feels possible to establish a decent base rate by looking at previous ballot initiatives by the mentioned firms and other similar ballot campaigns. I think it will vary a lot between licensing for a doctor vs hair braiding, and 50% might be reasonable for the latter.
feels possible to establish a decent base rate by looking at previous ballot initiatives by the mentioned firms and other similar ballot campaigns. I think it will vary a lot between licensing for a doctor vs hair braiding, and 50% might be reasonable for the latter.
Maybe I could get a more precise rate. The 50% assumption is close to the average success rate over the last 20 years.
There weren’t sufficiently similar ballot initiatives, IMO, to make me want to use a more specific reference class.