Agreed on the halo-effect, but besides one’s prestige, I think one’s region-specific knowledge and network matter a lot and does not transfer. As a result, if the EU is less relevant, building up prestige in the EU might not be as efficient as building up prestige in China or the US, given that in parallel you’d be developing a network and region-specific knowledge that will be more helpful to be impactful overall.
(That being said, even though I wanted to avoid anchoring the reader by expressing my opinion in the post, I expect the EU to be most relevant right now for AGI governance given the institutional precedents it sets. I believe the lack of investment in EA time & money there is an unfortunate mistake. So the “if the EU is less relevant” scenario should be disregarded in my opinion.)
Agreed on the halo-effect, but besides one’s prestige, I think one’s region-specific knowledge and network matter a lot and does not transfer. As a result, if the EU is less relevant, building up prestige in the EU might not be as efficient as building up prestige in China or the US, given that in parallel you’d be developing a network and region-specific knowledge that will be more helpful to be impactful overall.
(That being said, even though I wanted to avoid anchoring the reader by expressing my opinion in the post, I expect the EU to be most relevant right now for AGI governance given the institutional precedents it sets. I believe the lack of investment in EA time & money there is an unfortunate mistake. So the “if the EU is less relevant” scenario should be disregarded in my opinion.)