During the re-evaluation, it would be great if FP could also check the partnership programme by StrongMinds—e.g. whether this is an additional source of revenue for them, and what the operational costs of the partners who help treat additional patients for them are. At the moment these costs are not incorporated into HLI’s CEA, but partners were responsible for ~50 and ~80% of the clients treated in 2021 and 2022 respectively. For example, if we crudely assume costs of treatment per client are constant regardless of whether it’s treated by StrongMinds or by a StrongMinds partner, then:
Starting with 5x GiveDirectly, and using 2021 figures, if >~60% of the observed effect is due to bias it will be <1x GiveDirectly.
Starting with 5x GiveDirectly, and using 2022 figures, if >~0% of the observed effect is due to bias, it will be at <1x GiveDirectly.
(Thanks again for all your work, looking forward to the re-evaluation!)
Thanks, bruce — this is a great point. I’m not sure if we would account for the costs in the exact way I think you have done here, but we will definitely include this consideration in our calculation.
During the re-evaluation, it would be great if FP could also check the partnership programme by StrongMinds—e.g. whether this is an additional source of revenue for them, and what the operational costs of the partners who help treat additional patients for them are. At the moment these costs are not incorporated into HLI’s CEA, but partners were responsible for ~50 and ~80% of the clients treated in 2021 and 2022 respectively. For example, if we crudely assume costs of treatment per client are constant regardless of whether it’s treated by StrongMinds or by a StrongMinds partner, then:
Starting with 5x GiveDirectly, and using 2021 figures, if >~60% of the observed effect is due to bias it will be <1x GiveDirectly.
Starting with 5x GiveDirectly, and using 2022 figures, if >~0% of the observed effect is due to bias, it will be at <1x GiveDirectly.
(Thanks again for all your work, looking forward to the re-evaluation!)
Thanks, bruce — this is a great point. I’m not sure if we would account for the costs in the exact way I think you have done here, but we will definitely include this consideration in our calculation.