Just on that last prediction—that’s an extraordinary claim given that the U.S. unemployment rate has only increased 0.7% since ChatGPT was released nearly 2 years ago (harder to compare again GPT-3, which was released in 2020, but you could say the same about the economic impacts of recent LLMs more broadly). If you believe we’re on the precipice of some extraordinary increase, why stop at 15%? Or if we’re not on that precipice, what’s the mechanism for that 10% jump?
Just on that last prediction—that’s an extraordinary claim given that the U.S. unemployment rate has only increased 0.7% since ChatGPT was released nearly 2 years ago (harder to compare again GPT-3, which was released in 2020, but you could say the same about the economic impacts of recent LLMs more broadly). If you believe we’re on the precipice of some extraordinary increase, why stop at 15%? Or if we’re not on that precipice, what’s the mechanism for that 10% jump?
Heya mate, it is an extraordinary claim, depending on how powerful you expect the models to be and in what timeframe!
“U.S. unemployment rate has only increased 0.7% since ChatGPT was released nearly 2 years ago”
“what’s the mechanism for that 10% jump?”