I can see where you’re coming from. However, I think it’s worth noting that “raise the alarm” isn’t straightforwardly the appropriate response to “the situation is alarming, according to my inside view,” for unilateralist’s curse-type reasons. (I imagine this has been discussed in more depth elsewhere.)
What is the appropriate response? (This is not a rhetorical question; I want to know). There may be some risk of alarmism being negative, but I don’t think there is much risk of it being “net” negative, given the default no-action path is we all just get killed in a few years. Also it’s ironic that the EA community talks a lot about the unilateralist’s curse, yet is arguably responsible for the worst cases of it (supporting DeepMind, OpenAI, and Anthropic, and thus kicking off and accelerating the race to uncontrollable AGI).
What if alarmism—raising the alarm—is actually the appropriate response? The current situation is highly alarming imo.
I can see where you’re coming from. However, I think it’s worth noting that “raise the alarm” isn’t straightforwardly the appropriate response to “the situation is alarming, according to my inside view,” for unilateralist’s curse-type reasons. (I imagine this has been discussed in more depth elsewhere.)
What is the appropriate response? (This is not a rhetorical question; I want to know). There may be some risk of alarmism being negative, but I don’t think there is much risk of it being “net” negative, given the default no-action path is we all just get killed in a few years. Also it’s ironic that the EA community talks a lot about the unilateralist’s curse, yet is arguably responsible for the worst cases of it (supporting DeepMind, OpenAI, and Anthropic, and thus kicking off and accelerating the race to uncontrollable AGI).