(I’m taking the estimate of lives saved, and then dividing them by life expectancy to get something resembling QALYs. I’m getting the life expectancy figures from Our World In Data, and then adding a bit of uncertainty).
Overall this update doesn’t change this analysis much.
One component of this post was the quantified estimate of AMF’s impact. My estimate was extremely rough. There is now a merely very rough estimate here: <https://observablehq.com/@tanaerao/malaria-nets-analysis> , which looks as follows:
(I’m taking the estimate of lives saved, and then dividing them by life expectancy to get something resembling QALYs. I’m getting the life expectancy figures from Our World In Data, and then adding a bit of uncertainty).
Overall this update doesn’t change this analysis much.