How do you balance your high opinion of OpenPhil with the assumption that there’s information that cannot be made public, and which tips the scale in important decisions?
This is almost always the case for large organizations. All CEOs or government officials have a lot of private information that influences their decision making.
This private information does make it much more difficult for external evaluators to evaluate them. However, there’s often still a lot that can be inferred. It’s really important that these evaluators stay humble about their analysis in light of the fact that there’s a lot of private information, but it’s also important that evaluators still try, given the information available.
This is almost always the case for large organizations. All CEOs or government officials have a lot of private information that influences their decision making.
This private information does make it much more difficult for external evaluators to evaluate them. However, there’s often still a lot that can be inferred. It’s really important that these evaluators stay humble about their analysis in light of the fact that there’s a lot of private information, but it’s also important that evaluators still try, given the information available.