RobBensinger comments on Predict responses to the “existential risk from AI” survey

[RobBensinger]

Survey results for Q2, Q1 (hover for spoilers):

OpenAI: ~21%, ~13%

FHI: ~27%, ~19%

DeepMind: (no respondents declared this affiliation)

CHAI/​Berkeley: 39%, 39%

MIRI: 80%, 70%

Open Philanthropy: ~35%, ~16%

[Jack R]

Thanks for this Rob—I was going to post this myself but you beat me to it :)


Also, wow—I was systematically wrong. I think my (relative) x-risk optimism affected my predictions majorly.