I don’t think EV reasoning relies on CLT and many repeated incidences. Probabilities (in the important decision-guiding sense) are features of the map, not the territory.
Yes, sure, probabilities are only in the map. But I don’t think that matters for this. Or I just don’t see what argument you are making here.
(CLT is in the map, expectations are taken in the map, and decisions are made in the map (then somehow translated into the territory via actions). I don’t see how that says anything about what EV reasoning relies on.)
I don’t think EV reasoning relies on CLT and many repeated incidences. Probabilities (in the important decision-guiding sense) are features of the map, not the territory.
Yes, sure, probabilities are only in the map. But I don’t think that matters for this. Or I just don’t see what argument you are making here. (CLT is in the map, expectations are taken in the map, and decisions are made in the map (then somehow translated into the territory via actions). I don’t see how that says anything about what EV reasoning relies on.)