A talk by Amanda Ngo about using forecasting to build models, calibrate beliefs, and improve decisionmaking
A talk by Zach Robinson about using back of the envelope calculations to prioritize interventions
A few things we have done to try to influence norms:
I have calls with almost every speaker where we discuss their talk and how they will present it. I encourage them to use reasoning transparency in their presentation
At welcome talks at the start of the event, I’ve encouraged folks to be open to changing their minds, to seek out ideas that they think they disagree with and try to engage with them, and to try to pass Ideological Turing Tests of attendees they disagree with
We also have had a bunch of workshops to help folks build their rationality toolkit: including workshops on forecasting and Fermi estimates as well as Center for Applied Rationality and Clearer Thinking content.
I also include practical application of rationality tools in events training. For example, the project management presentation that I’ll be giving at our EAGx team training this Thursday includes a handful of rationality tools in a ~15-minute presentation (including planning fallacy, Murphyjitsu, inside vs outside view, and back planning).
The events team tries to feature content and promote community norms that maintain/improve the community’s epistemics.
Examples of content (these are just a few talks of many):
Talks by David Manley on decoupling and Bayesian reasoning
Fireside chats with Philip Tetlock on forecasting and other topics
A talk by Amanda Ngo about using forecasting to build models, calibrate beliefs, and improve decisionmaking
A talk by Zach Robinson about using back of the envelope calculations to prioritize interventions
A few things we have done to try to influence norms:
I have calls with almost every speaker where we discuss their talk and how they will present it. I encourage them to use reasoning transparency in their presentation
At welcome talks at the start of the event, I’ve encouraged folks to be open to changing their minds, to seek out ideas that they think they disagree with and try to engage with them, and to try to pass Ideological Turing Tests of attendees they disagree with
We bought copies of The Scout Mindset by Julia Galef to hand out at the EA Picnic, coming up in July :)
We also have had a bunch of workshops to help folks build their rationality toolkit: including workshops on forecasting and Fermi estimates as well as Center for Applied Rationality and Clearer Thinking content.
I also include practical application of rationality tools in events training. For example, the project management presentation that I’ll be giving at our EAGx team training this Thursday includes a handful of rationality tools in a ~15-minute presentation (including planning fallacy, Murphyjitsu, inside vs outside view, and back planning).