There’s no need for anyone to offer a precise plan for how we can avoid doom. That would be nice, but unnecessary. I interpreted Tamay as saying that the “default” outcomes that people contemplate are improbable to begin with. If the so-called default scenario will not happen, then it’s unclear to me why we need to have a specific plan for how to avoid doom. Humanity will just avoid doom in the way we always have: trudging through until we get out alive. No one had a realistic, detailed plan for how we’d survive the 20th century unscathed by nuclear catastrophe, and yet we did anyway.
I interpreted Tamay as saying that the “default” outcomes that people contemplate are improbable to begin with.
I’m curious about your “to begin with”: do you interpret Tamay as saying that doom is improbable even if little-to-no measures are taken to address AI safety?
There’s no need for anyone to offer a precise plan for how we can avoid doom. That would be nice, but unnecessary. I interpreted Tamay as saying that the “default” outcomes that people contemplate are improbable to begin with. If the so-called default scenario will not happen, then it’s unclear to me why we need to have a specific plan for how to avoid doom. Humanity will just avoid doom in the way we always have: trudging through until we get out alive. No one had a realistic, detailed plan for how we’d survive the 20th century unscathed by nuclear catastrophe, and yet we did anyway.
I’m curious about your “to begin with”: do you interpret Tamay as saying that doom is improbable even if little-to-no measures are taken to address AI safety?