Calling my strongly held inside view ‘fringe’ doesn’t carry much weight as an argument for me. Do you have actual evidence of your longer than 10 years timelines view?
I hold the view that important scientific advancements tend to come disproportionately from the very smartest and most thoughtful people. My hope would be that students smart enough to be meaningfully helpful on the AGI alignment problem would be able to think through and form correct inside views on this.
Calling my strongly held inside view ‘fringe’ doesn’t carry much weight as an argument for me. Do you have actual evidence of your longer than 10 years timelines view?
I hold the view that important scientific advancements tend to come disproportionately from the very smartest and most thoughtful people. My hope would be that students smart enough to be meaningfully helpful on the AGI alignment problem would be able to think through and form correct inside views on this.