Almost all information is outside information (eg. the GDP of the US, the number of employees at CEA), so I’d prefer saying “beliefs before updating on other people’s beliefs” instead of “beliefs before updating on outside information”.
I’ve been using “impressions” and “beliefs” for these terms, but “credence” does seem better than “belief”.
Yeah. As I’ve said before, it’s good to be fully aware of what you understand, what model your inside view is using, and what credence it outputs, before/separate to any social updating of the decision-relevant credence. Or at least, this is the right thing to do if you want to have accurate models in the long run, rather than accurate decision-relevant credences in the short run.
Almost all information is outside information (eg. the GDP of the US, the number of employees at CEA), so I’d prefer saying “beliefs before updating on other people’s beliefs” instead of “beliefs before updating on outside information”.
I’ve been using “impressions” and “beliefs” for these terms, but “credence” does seem better than “belief”.
Yeah. As I’ve said before, it’s good to be fully aware of what you understand, what model your inside view is using, and what credence it outputs, before/separate to any social updating of the decision-relevant credence. Or at least, this is the right thing to do if you want to have accurate models in the long run, rather than accurate decision-relevant credences in the short run.