You are welcome; I thought you might be interested!
Wow that’s a very large number!
As another data point, according to this systematic analysis, “in 2017, 11 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 10–12) deaths and 255 million (234–274) DALYs were attributable to dietary risk factors”. That is 19.3 % (= 11/56.97) of the deaths in 2017, which is similar to the estimates of the EAT-Lancet Commision.
My first thought is that I don’t think 1⁄5 premature deaths is attributable to MAP
From the table above, the main contributors to decreasing premature adult deaths by 1⁄5 are decreased consumption of sodium, and increased consumption of fruits, vegetables, whole grains and nuts (see Figure 3 below). However, these changes also happen to some extent as a result of eating less animals (one has to get calories from something else), and their reference diet only has 13.6 % (= (153 + 15 + 15 + 62 + 19 + 40 + 36)/2500; see Table 1) calories coming from animal sources.
For reference, CEARCH did a shallow analysis of policy advocacy to promote greater consumption of fruits and vegetables.
Another finding I’ve seen is that widespread adoption of a plant-based diet would save ~3.3% of global GDP per year due to healthcare savings. That study also suggest a 6-10% reduction in global mortality, though I think these types of findings are necessarily pretty speculative and contingent on assumptions.
You are welcome; I thought you might be interested!
As another data point, according to this systematic analysis, “in 2017, 11 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 10–12) deaths and 255 million (234–274) DALYs were attributable to dietary risk factors”. That is 19.3 % (= 11/56.97) of the deaths in 2017, which is similar to the estimates of the EAT-Lancet Commision.
From the table above, the main contributors to decreasing premature adult deaths by 1⁄5 are decreased consumption of sodium, and increased consumption of fruits, vegetables, whole grains and nuts (see Figure 3 below). However, these changes also happen to some extent as a result of eating less animals (one has to get calories from something else), and their reference diet only has 13.6 % (= (153 + 15 + 15 + 62 + 19 + 40 + 36)/2500; see Table 1) calories coming from animal sources.
For reference, CEARCH did a shallow analysis of policy advocacy to promote greater consumption of fruits and vegetables.
Thanks Vasco!
Another finding I’ve seen is that widespread adoption of a plant-based diet would save ~3.3% of global GDP per year due to healthcare savings. That study also suggest a 6-10% reduction in global mortality, though I think these types of findings are necessarily pretty speculative and contingent on assumptions.