I am unsure if that makes you not a longtermist. My understanding of the basic longtermist claim is as follows:
Future individuals matter as much as those in the present
We should do something to positively shape their lives
I think this has little to do with forecasting accuracy, albeit if we were really good at that, it would help us better outline the something in the second point. I think the major part of it is about how we assign moral value to those who will exist in the future.
I am unsure if that makes you not a longtermist. My understanding of the basic longtermist claim is as follows:
Future individuals matter as much as those in the present
We should do something to positively shape their lives
I think this has little to do with forecasting accuracy, albeit if we were really good at that, it would help us better outline the something in the second point. I think the major part of it is about how we assign moral value to those who will exist in the future.
I think he’s saying that an important third element is that “We can do something to positively shape their lives”.