As a first pass the rate of improvement should asymptote towards zero so long as there’s a theoretical optimum and declining returns to further research before the heat death of the universe, which seems like pretty mild assumptions.
I think it would be really useful if this idea was explained in more details somewhere, preferably on the 80k website. Do you think there is a chance that this happens at some point? (hopefully not too far in the future ;-) )
Yes it needs to go in an explanation of how we score scale/importance in the problem framework! It’s on the list. :)
Alternatively I’ve been wondering if we need a standalone article explaining how we can influence the long term, and what are signs that something might be highly leveraged for doing that.
I think it would be really useful if this idea was explained in more details somewhere, preferably on the 80k website. Do you think there is a chance that this happens at some point? (hopefully not too far in the future ;-) )
Yes it needs to go in an explanation of how we score scale/importance in the problem framework! It’s on the list. :)
Alternatively I’ve been wondering if we need a standalone article explaining how we can influence the long term, and what are signs that something might be highly leveraged for doing that.