Also, it occurs to me that giving percentages is itself effectively rounding to the nearest percent; it’s unlikely the cognitive processes that result in outputting an estimate naturally fall into 100 evenly spaced buckets. Do you think we should typically give percentages? Or that we should round to the nearest thousandth, hundredth, tenth, etc. similarly often, just depending on a range of factors about the situation?
(I mean this more as a genuine question than an attempted reductio ad absurdum.)
Also, it occurs to me that giving percentages is itself effectively rounding to the nearest percent; it’s unlikely the cognitive processes that result in outputting an estimate naturally fall into 100 evenly spaced buckets. Do you think we should typically give percentages? Or that we should round to the nearest thousandth, hundredth, tenth, etc. similarly often, just depending on a range of factors about the situation?
(I mean this more as a genuine question than an attempted reductio ad absurdum.)