MichaelA🔸 comments on Use resilience, instead of imprecision, to communicate uncertainty

[MichaelA🔸]

(In a similar spirit of posting things somewhat related to this general topic while apologising to Greg for doing so...)

A few months ago, I collected on LessWrong a variety of terms I’d found for describing something like the “trustworthiness” of probabilities, along with quotes and commentary about those terms. Specifically, the terms included:

• Epistemic credentials

• Resilience (of credences)

• Evidential weight (balance vs weight of evidence)

• Probability distributions (and confidence intervals)

• Precision, sharpness, vagueness

• Haziness

• Hyperpriors, credal sets, and other things I haven’t really learned about

It’s possible that some readers of this post would find that collection interesting/​useful.

[Adam Binksmith]

To add to your list—Subjective Logic represents opinions with three values: degree of belief, degree of disbelief, and degree of uncertainty. One interpretation of this is as a form of second-order uncertainty. It’s used for modelling trust. A nice summary here with interactive tools for visualising opinions and a trust network.