I think you misunderstood what I was saying at least a bit, in that I did read the post in reasonably close detail (about a total of half an hour of reading) and was aware of most of your comment.
I will try to find the time to write a longer response that tries to explain my case in more detail, but can’t currently make any promises. I expect there are some larger inferential distances here that would take a while to cross for both of us.
Hey Oli, thanks for taking the time to come up with these points, and going out of your way to say, “...I think evaluations like this are quite important and a core part of what I think of as EA’s value proposition...and would like to see more people trying similar things in the future.” This is exactly the type of attitude toward agency and attempting to do good that I’d like to have encouraged more in EA.
Point-by-point, I think Derek covered a lot. I also mention in a comment how I was thinking about this evaluation in terms of a contribution to grant evaluation and the EA project space more broadly.
We might have done better to distill cruxes within our qualitative reasoning, though I do think a fair amount of this is presented in various sections. Agreed that swapping advanced mathematical models for BOTECs is often advisable, but at certain points in the future, I would imagine that evaluators could make good use of methods like these.
Thanks for the response!
I think you misunderstood what I was saying at least a bit, in that I did read the post in reasonably close detail (about a total of half an hour of reading) and was aware of most of your comment.
I will try to find the time to write a longer response that tries to explain my case in more detail, but can’t currently make any promises. I expect there are some larger inferential distances here that would take a while to cross for both of us.
Yeah, I did wonder if we were talking past each other a bit, and I’d be interested to clear that up – but no worries if you don’t have time.
Hey Oli, thanks for taking the time to come up with these points, and going out of your way to say, “...I think evaluations like this are quite important and a core part of what I think of as EA’s value proposition...and would like to see more people trying similar things in the future.” This is exactly the type of attitude toward agency and attempting to do good that I’d like to have encouraged more in EA.
Point-by-point, I think Derek covered a lot. I also mention in a comment how I was thinking about this evaluation in terms of a contribution to grant evaluation and the EA project space more broadly.
We might have done better to distill cruxes within our qualitative reasoning, though I do think a fair amount of this is presented in various sections. Agreed that swapping advanced mathematical models for BOTECs is often advisable, but at certain points in the future, I would imagine that evaluators could make good use of methods like these.