You could use prediction setups to resolve specific cruxes on why prediction setups outputted certain values.
My guess is that this could be neat, but also pretty tricky. There are lots of “debate/argument” platforms out there, it’s seemed to have worked out a lot worse than people were hoping. But I’d love to be proven wrong.
P.S. I’d be keen on working on this, how do I get involved?
If “this” means the specific thing you’re referring to, I don’t think there’s really a project for that yet, you’d have to do it yourself. If you’re referring more to forecasting projects more generally, there are different forecasting jobs and stuff popping up. Metaculus has been doing some hiring. You could also do academic research in the space. Another option is getting an EA Funds grant and pursuing a specific project (though I realize this is tricky!)
My guess is that this could be neat, but also pretty tricky. There are lots of “debate/argument” platforms out there, it’s seemed to have worked out a lot worse than people were hoping. But I’d love to be proven wrong.
If “this” means the specific thing you’re referring to, I don’t think there’s really a project for that yet, you’d have to do it yourself. If you’re referring more to forecasting projects more generally, there are different forecasting jobs and stuff popping up. Metaculus has been doing some hiring. You could also do academic research in the space. Another option is getting an EA Funds grant and pursuing a specific project (though I realize this is tricky!)