If he hasn’t seriously considered working on supervolcanoes before, then it definitely seems worth raising the idea with him.
I know almost nothing about supervolcanoes, but, assuming Toby’s estimate is reasonable, I wouldn’t be too surprised if going from zero to one longtermist researcher in this area is more valuable than adding an additional AI policy researcher.
If he hasn’t seriously considered working on supervolcanoes before, then it definitely seems worth raising the idea with him.
I know almost nothing about supervolcanoes, but, assuming Toby’s estimate is reasonable, I wouldn’t be too surprised if going from zero to one longtermist researcher in this area is more valuable than adding an additional AI policy researcher.