I like to feel like additional effort makes a difference. The easiest way to get to the top of the metaculus leaderboard is to forecast on everything. Not well, but just to do it. This is pretty dispiriting.
I did Metaculus for a while but I wasn’t quite sure how to assess how well I was doing and I lost interest. I know Brier score isn’t the greatest metric. Just try to accumulate points?
Scoring systems
I like to feel like additional effort makes a difference. The easiest way to get to the top of the metaculus leaderboard is to forecast on everything. Not well, but just to do it. This is pretty dispiriting.
I did Metaculus for a while but I wasn’t quite sure how to assess how well I was doing and I lost interest. I know Brier score isn’t the greatest metric. Just try to accumulate points?