I’d also consider a scenario where the world is multi-polar, but not vastly so and the actors are able to avoid conflict either due to being able to get along or mutually assured destruction. Then again, this may not be sufficiently robust for you to include it.
That’s really really not robust since it strongly implies race conditions to greater intelligence and power. You can’t assume the multi-polar detente will hold across increasing levels of technology and machine intelligence. This would, furthermore, be expected to be a rapid process. So this situation would turn into some other after only a few years.
I’d also consider a scenario where the world is multi-polar, but not vastly so and the actors are able to avoid conflict either due to being able to get along or mutually assured destruction. Then again, this may not be sufficiently robust for you to include it.
That’s really really not robust since it strongly implies race conditions to greater intelligence and power. You can’t assume the multi-polar detente will hold across increasing levels of technology and machine intelligence. This would, furthermore, be expected to be a rapid process. So this situation would turn into some other after only a few years.