Sorry, I didn’t mean to imply that biorisk does or doesn’t have “fast timelines” in the same sense as some AI forecasts. I was responding to the point about “if [EA organization] is a good use of funds, why doesn’t OpenPhil fund it?” being answered with the proposition that OpenPhil is not funding much stuff in the present (disbursing 1% of their assets per year, a really small rate even if you are highly patient) because they think they will find better things to fund in the future. That seems like a wrong explanation.
Sorry, I didn’t mean to imply that biorisk does or doesn’t have “fast timelines” in the same sense as some AI forecasts. I was responding to the point about “if [EA organization] is a good use of funds, why doesn’t OpenPhil fund it?” being answered with the proposition that OpenPhil is not funding much stuff in the present (disbursing 1% of their assets per year, a really small rate even if you are highly patient) because they think they will find better things to fund in the future. That seems like a wrong explanation.