Maybe one source of confusion here is that the word “extreme” can be used either to say that someone’s credence is above (or below) a certain level/number (without any value judgement concerning whether that’s sensible) or to say that it’s implausibly high/low.
One possible conclusion would be to just taboo the word “extreme” in this context.
Agree, tried to add more clarification below. I’ll try to avoid this going forward, maybe unsuccessfully.
Tbh, I mean a bit of both definitions (Will’s views are quite surprising to me, which is why I want to know more), but mostly the former (i.e. stating it’s close to 0% or 100%).
Maybe one source of confusion here is that the word “extreme” can be used either to say that someone’s credence is above (or below) a certain level/number (without any value judgement concerning whether that’s sensible) or to say that it’s implausibly high/low.
One possible conclusion would be to just taboo the word “extreme” in this context.
Agree, tried to add more clarification below. I’ll try to avoid this going forward, maybe unsuccessfully.
Tbh, I mean a bit of both definitions (Will’s views are quite surprising to me, which is why I want to know more), but mostly the former (i.e. stating it’s close to 0% or 100%).