How much do you think forecasting well on given questions is different from the skill of creating new questions? I notice that I’m trending to be increasingly impressed by people who are able to ask questions that seem important but that I wouldn’t even have thought about
They seem similar because being able to orient oneself in a new domain would feed into both things. One can probably use (potentially uncalibrated) domain experts to ask questions which forecasters then solve. Overall I have not thought all that much about this.
They seem similar because being able to orient oneself in a new domain would feed into both things. One can probably use (potentially uncalibrated) domain experts to ask questions which forecasters then solve. Overall I have not thought all that much about this.