The actual success rate should be significantly rosier than the above numbers, as a) sometimes applicants withdraw applications, b) sometimes we refer applications to other funders, and c) some applications are clearly irrelevant (eg if a homelessness shelter applies to LTFF).
To clarify, I think withdrawn applications counted in the denominator when I was pulling data, but not the numerator. Additionally, I expect common reasons for withdrawal includes being funded elsewhere; I’d weakly guess that withdrawn applications are more likely than baseline to counterfactually be funded.
Doesn’t (a) point the other way?
To clarify, I think withdrawn applications counted in the denominator when I was pulling data, but not the numerator. Additionally, I expect common reasons for withdrawal includes being funded elsewhere; I’d weakly guess that withdrawn applications are more likely than baseline to counterfactually be funded.
Thanks for clarifying! I’d been thinking they weren’t in the denominator.
(I also hadn’t been thinking about why someone might withdraw, and being funded elsewhere makes a lot of sense.)