I mean the reasoning behind this seems very close to #2 no? The target audience they’re looking at is probably more interested in neartermism than AI/longtermism and they don’t think they can get much tractability working with the current EA ecosystem?
I think 2 and especially 3 are very likely, but I think it’s also likely that Bregman was very impressed with AIM, and possibly found it more inspiring than 80k/CEA, and/or more pragmatic, or a better fit for the kind of people he wanted to reach regardless of their views on AI.
I think 2 and especially 3 are very likely, but I think it’s also likely that Bregman was very impressed with AIM, and possibly found it more inspiring than 80k/CEA, and/or more pragmatic, or a better fit for the kind of people he wanted to reach regardless of their views on AI.