Sjlver, you cited the article titled “Health and agricultural productivity: Evidence from Zambia.” If I’m reading well, the randomized controlled trial measured about 10% to 15% increase in income during the next year for a population with free bednets.
That is a perfect example of the kinds of facts that I have been searching for. I welcome any more evidence.
Now I cited that exemplary article. In a spreadsheet cell.
Also, in the past few days I revised some estimates and sources of facts.
I ignorantly estimated of 3% to 5% compounding opportunity cost in annual productivity from malaria alone. This is based on a comment from Rob Mathers at a World Malaria Day presentation about the total economic opportunity cost of malaria per year divided by the income of an estimated population at risk of malaria. It is a crude estimate.
Phil’s discussion had inspired the historical scenario of donating to AMF in 2010 or 2020. As can be seen in the crude estimates so far, I am currently uncertain. Therefore, I agree with you, Sjlver, that with such high uncertainty it seems to be a deadly gamble to delay a gift by 10 years.
Again anyone’s comments on facts from 2010 to 2020 would inform an estimate of this historical scenario. If I can understand a simple historical scenario, then it would inform my giving plans for the future.
Sjlver, you cited the article titled “Health and agricultural productivity: Evidence from Zambia.” If I’m reading well, the randomized controlled trial measured about 10% to 15% increase in income during the next year for a population with free bednets.
That is a perfect example of the kinds of facts that I have been searching for. I welcome any more evidence.
Now I cited that exemplary article. In a spreadsheet cell.
Also, in the past few days I revised some estimates and sources of facts.
I ignorantly estimated of 3% to 5% compounding opportunity cost in annual productivity from malaria alone. This is based on a comment from Rob Mathers at a World Malaria Day presentation about the total economic opportunity cost of malaria per year divided by the income of an estimated population at risk of malaria. It is a crude estimate.
Phil’s discussion had inspired the historical scenario of donating to AMF in 2010 or 2020. As can be seen in the crude estimates so far, I am currently uncertain. Therefore, I agree with you, Sjlver, that with such high uncertainty it seems to be a deadly gamble to delay a gift by 10 years.
Again anyone’s comments on facts from 2010 to 2020 would inform an estimate of this historical scenario. If I can understand a simple historical scenario, then it would inform my giving plans for the future.