This continues to be a very interesting series—thanks for writing it.
Two minor corrections (I think):
I believe the formulas for percent change of precipitation (stated as −0.0485 * (teragrams of smoke) + −0.938) and for percent change of temperature (stated as −0.276 * (teragrams of smoke) + −5.55) are the wrong way around. Here I’ve shown what values the formulas generate, alongside the values you drew from Toon et al., to illustrate that the generated “temperature” values line up fairly well with Toon et al.’s precipitation values and vice versa: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OaXi3Fpr4q1WfwfkodVWTeUeR_Zoj9CYKZ0Jtgr1-jc/edit?usp=sharing
It seems that the wrong Toon et al. figure (Figure 6, about fatalities) is shown where Figure 12 (about smoke) is meant to be (after ”...the amount of smoke generated by a nuclear exchange of a given size can be represented reasonably well by simple algebraic functions”). I imagine the Figure 12 shown in Appendix B is what was also meant to be used in that earlier place where Figure 6 currently is.
This continues to be a very interesting series—thanks for writing it.
Two minor corrections (I think):
I believe the formulas for percent change of precipitation (stated as −0.0485 * (teragrams of smoke) + −0.938) and for percent change of temperature (stated as −0.276 * (teragrams of smoke) + −5.55) are the wrong way around. Here I’ve shown what values the formulas generate, alongside the values you drew from Toon et al., to illustrate that the generated “temperature” values line up fairly well with Toon et al.’s precipitation values and vice versa: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OaXi3Fpr4q1WfwfkodVWTeUeR_Zoj9CYKZ0Jtgr1-jc/edit?usp=sharing
It seems that the wrong Toon et al. figure (Figure 6, about fatalities) is shown where Figure 12 (about smoke) is meant to be (after ”...the amount of smoke generated by a nuclear exchange of a given size can be represented reasonably well by simple algebraic functions”). I imagine the Figure 12 shown in Appendix B is what was also meant to be used in that earlier place where Figure 6 currently is.