Fair. I should revise my claim to being about the likelihood of a catastrophe and the risk reduction from working on these problems (especially or only in AI; I haven’t looked as much at what’s going on in other x-risks work). AI Impacts looks like they were focused on timelines.
This seems to me to not be the case. For a very specific counterexample, AI Impacts has existed since 2015.
Fair. I should revise my claim to being about the likelihood of a catastrophe and the risk reduction from working on these problems (especially or only in AI; I haven’t looked as much at what’s going on in other x-risks work). AI Impacts looks like they were focused on timelines.