Wow quite a strong claim, and as a longtermist mostly working on AI, not sure how to feel about it yet.🤔 But I’ll take a stab at a different thing:
However, If you care about causes such as poverty, health or animals, and you think your community could update based on a post saying “Cause Y will be affected by AI”, leave a comment and I will think about writing about it.
A few initial concrete examples:
Poverty: Transformative AI could radically transform the global economy, which could lead to the end of poverty as we know it and immense wealth for all or perhaps tremendous inequality.
(Mental) health: We’re likely to see really good AI chatbots pop up in the shorter term (i.e. before TAI, kinda starting now) which could potentially serve as ultra-low-cost but very useful therapists/friends.
Animals: AI could make alternative proteins much more efficient to produce, bringing a much sooner switch away from animal agriculture (and might even be necessary for cultivated meat to be competitive). Some are already working on this.
Based on AI timelines, I would be surprised if all these things didn’t happen in the next ~50 years, which feels quite “neartermist” to me.
The claim is “AGI will radically change X”. And I tried to argue that if you cared about X and wanted to impact it, basically on the first order you could calculate your impact on it just by measuring your impact on AGI.
Wow quite a strong claim, and as a longtermist mostly working on AI, not sure how to feel about it yet.🤔 But I’ll take a stab at a different thing:
A few initial concrete examples:
Poverty: Transformative AI could radically transform the global economy, which could lead to the end of poverty as we know it and immense wealth for all or perhaps tremendous inequality.
(Mental) health: We’re likely to see really good AI chatbots pop up in the shorter term (i.e. before TAI, kinda starting now) which could potentially serve as ultra-low-cost but very useful therapists/friends.
Animals: AI could make alternative proteins much more efficient to produce, bringing a much sooner switch away from animal agriculture (and might even be necessary for cultivated meat to be competitive). Some are already working on this.
Based on AI timelines, I would be surprised if all these things didn’t happen in the next ~50 years, which feels quite “neartermist” to me.
Thanks for giving these concrete examples!
“A(G)I could radically change X” is a way weaker claim than “working on A(G)I is the best way to tackle X”. You only defend the former here.
The claim is “AGI will radically change X”. And I tried to argue that if you cared about X and wanted to impact it, basically on the first order you could calculate your impact on it just by measuring your impact on AGI.