One’s second, third, etc. choices would only come into play when/if their first choice is eliminated by the IRV system. Although there could be some circumstances in which voting solely for one’s #1 choice could be tactically wise, I believe they are rather narrow and would only be knowable in the last day or two.
Is there any scenario where only voting for your first choice would be wise? I don’t think there is any downside to listing a second choice, assuming that you do actually prefer that second choice over any of the other options should your first choice be eliminated.
There may not be, I don’t feel I’ve exhausted the list of possibilities so hedged my comment a bit.
I can envision worlds in which supporters of one’s second choice would have an incentive to knock your first choice out—so the vote would flow to their supported charity instead. I suppose those people could write a comment critical of your first choice to try to get it eliminated before theirs? That seems awfully speculative, only seems a plausible attack if one knows most/all of the voting orders for people who ranked the org first. Especially since only the top three are in the money and changing the order of elimination ordinarily won’t change the top three.
One’s second, third, etc. choices would only come into play when/if their first choice is eliminated by the IRV system. Although there could be some circumstances in which voting solely for one’s #1 choice could be tactically wise, I believe they are rather narrow and would only be knowable in the last day or two.
Is there any scenario where only voting for your first choice would be wise? I don’t think there is any downside to listing a second choice, assuming that you do actually prefer that second choice over any of the other options should your first choice be eliminated.
There may not be, I don’t feel I’ve exhausted the list of possibilities so hedged my comment a bit.
I can envision worlds in which supporters of one’s second choice would have an incentive to knock your first choice out—so the vote would flow to their supported charity instead. I suppose those people could write a comment critical of your first choice to try to get it eliminated before theirs? That seems awfully speculative, only seems a plausible attack if one knows most/all of the voting orders for people who ranked the org first. Especially since only the top three are in the money and changing the order of elimination ordinarily won’t change the top three.
Ooh interesting. Thanks for pointing this out, I’m revising my ballot now.