I really like this, and would love to see more work in the “peak resource” field. Of all the doomsday scenarios that are...
Secular
Rarely discussed in EA
Often discussed outside of EA
...general risks from resource scarcity are the ones I feel most confused/concerned about. Is our farmland really deteriorating? Are we really running out of key minerals? Is biodiversity loss // mass extinction really going to destabilize human civilization?
(That link is what pops up when I Google “biodiversity crisis” — haven’t reviewed, just using it as an example of the kind of thing I hear often.)
I absolutely agree with you—in this regard, I wrote a post about energy depletion based on what some experts on limits to growth are saying, like Richard Heinberg, Arthur Keller, Nate Hagens, Dennis Meadows and the like.
I spent some time on this, there are 3 posts + a summary (and I also made a 140 page document that goes in deeper detail about specific aspects).
Energy is especially important as it allows the extraction and production of everything else, so if it peaks the rest probably peaks too some time later (including phosphorus)… and I feel that EA really underestimated this aspect.
I really like this, and would love to see more work in the “peak resource” field. Of all the doomsday scenarios that are...
Secular
Rarely discussed in EA
Often discussed outside of EA
...general risks from resource scarcity are the ones I feel most confused/concerned about. Is our farmland really deteriorating? Are we really running out of key minerals? Is biodiversity loss // mass extinction really going to destabilize human civilization?
(That link is what pops up when I Google “biodiversity crisis” — haven’t reviewed, just using it as an example of the kind of thing I hear often.)
I absolutely agree with you—in this regard, I wrote a post about energy depletion based on what some experts on limits to growth are saying, like Richard Heinberg, Arthur Keller, Nate Hagens, Dennis Meadows and the like.
You can check it here : The great energy descent (short version)
I spent some time on this, there are 3 posts + a summary (and I also made a 140 page document that goes in deeper detail about specific aspects).
Energy is especially important as it allows the extraction and production of everything else, so if it peaks the rest probably peaks too some time later (including phosphorus)… and I feel that EA really underestimated this aspect.