I thought that David meant “intellectual areas” as opposed to physical/digital venues. Seems like lots of discussion in those venues isn’t particularly decision-relevant, and timelines aren’t really an unusually decision-irrelevant case.
Yeah, I was mostly thinking about policy—if we’re facing 90% unemployment, or existential risk, and need policy solutions, the difference between 5 and 7 years is immaterial. (There are important political differences, but the needed policies are identical.)
I thought that David meant “intellectual areas” as opposed to physical/digital venues. Seems like lots of discussion in those venues isn’t particularly decision-relevant, and timelines aren’t really an unusually decision-irrelevant case.
I thought you were taking issue with the claim they were overdiscussed and asking where.
The areas where timelines are overdiscussed are numerous. Policy and technical safety career advice are the biggest ime.
Yeah, I was mostly thinking about policy—if we’re facing 90% unemployment, or existential risk, and need policy solutions, the difference between 5 and 7 years is immaterial. (There are important political differences, but the needed policies are identical.)