Also not Holly, but another response might be the following:
Pausing in the very near future without a rise in political salience is just very very unlikely. The pause movement getting large influence is unlikely without a similar rise in political salience.
If a future rise in political salience occurs, this is likely an approximation of a ‘pivotal point’ (and if its not, well, policymakers are unlikely to agree to a pause at a pivotal point anyway)
Thus, what advocacy now is actually doing predominantly is creating the groundwork for a movement/idea that can be influential when the time comes.
I think this approach runs real risks, which I’d be happy to discuss, but also strikes me as an important response to the Shulman take.
Also not Holly, but another response might be the following:
Pausing in the very near future without a rise in political salience is just very very unlikely. The pause movement getting large influence is unlikely without a similar rise in political salience.
If a future rise in political salience occurs, this is likely an approximation of a ‘pivotal point’ (and if its not, well, policymakers are unlikely to agree to a pause at a pivotal point anyway)
Thus, what advocacy now is actually doing predominantly is creating the groundwork for a movement/idea that can be influential when the time comes.
I think this approach runs real risks, which I’d be happy to discuss, but also strikes me as an important response to the Shulman take.