Those are reasonable points, but I’m not sure they are enough to overcome the generally reasonable heuristic that dramatic events will go better if people involved anticipate them and have had a chance to think about them and plan responses beforehand, than if they take them by surprise.
I don’t think she’s saying that people shouldn’t think and plan responses, I think it’s more that endless naval gazing about timelines and rapidly shifting responses isn’t the most useful response
Those are reasonable points, but I’m not sure they are enough to overcome the generally reasonable heuristic that dramatic events will go better if people involved anticipate them and have had a chance to think about them and plan responses beforehand, than if they take them by surprise.
I don’t think she’s saying that people shouldn’t think and plan responses, I think it’s more that endless naval gazing about timelines and rapidly shifting responses isn’t the most useful response