I’m thinking of making an alternative to Guesstimate that’s more scalable and more easily integrated with Google Sheets, but I’m unsure about what would be the actual value for researchers. Especially now that QURI is focusing on Squiggle.
This particular piece was aimed at contractors for whom guesstimate is at the absolute limit of their mathematical ability, so squiggle definitely wouldn’t work for them.
I haven’t used squiggle but did use the thing between it and guesstimate. I did like having more power to fine tune my estimates and could imagine myself valuing still more control. But if I could add one feature to guesstimate it would be better integration of sources and estimates. Both the guesstimate comment interface and writing a separate document are quite clunky.
Thanks for writing this! I’m really curious about your thoughts on using Guesstimate vs Squiggle
Squiggle models from the linked guesstimate models:
Trading off air quality and covid
Chance of long covid given infection
(Generated using https://recursing.github.io/guesstimate_to_squiggle/ )
I’m thinking of making an alternative to Guesstimate that’s more scalable and more easily integrated with Google Sheets, but I’m unsure about what would be the actual value for researchers. Especially now that QURI is focusing on Squiggle.
This particular piece was aimed at contractors for whom guesstimate is at the absolute limit of their mathematical ability, so squiggle definitely wouldn’t work for them.
I haven’t used squiggle but did use the thing between it and guesstimate. I did like having more power to fine tune my estimates and could imagine myself valuing still more control. But if I could add one feature to guesstimate it would be better integration of sources and estimates. Both the guesstimate comment interface and writing a separate document are quite clunky.