Some of your criticism is actually about Bostrom’s paper
Assuming this is what your comment is in reference to: I looked at Bostrom’s paper after and I think his sentence about 1% reduction in x-risk being like a 10M+ year delay before growth is actually intuitive given his context (he mentioned that galaxies exist for billions of years just before), so I actually think the version of this you put in the script is significantly less intuitive. The video viewer also only has the context of the video up to that point whereas thr paper reader has a lot more context from the paper. Also videos should be a lot more comprehensible to laypeople than Bostrom papers.
I think the question of whether the video will be net negative on the margin is complicated. A more relevant question that is easier to answer is “is it reasonable to think that a higher quality video could be made for a reasonable additional amount of effort and would that be clearly better on net to have given the costs and benefits?”
I think the answer to this is “yes” and if we use that as the counterfactual rather than no video at all, it seems clear that you should target producing that video, even if your existing video is positive on net relative to no video.
Oh sure, without a doubt, if there is a better video to be made with little additional effort, making that video is obviously better, no denying that.
I asked that question because you said:
I don’t think the video is high enough quality for it to be a good thing for more people to see it
And that’s way more worrying than “this video could be significantly improved with little effort”. At least I would like to start with a “do no harm” policy. Like, if the channel does harm then the channel ought to be nuked if the harm is large enough. If the channel has just room for improvement that’s a different kettle of fish entirely.
Assuming this is what your comment is in reference to: I looked at Bostrom’s paper after and I think his sentence about 1% reduction in x-risk being like a 10M+ year delay before growth is actually intuitive given his context (he mentioned that galaxies exist for billions of years just before), so I actually think the version of this you put in the script is significantly less intuitive. The video viewer also only has the context of the video up to that point whereas thr paper reader has a lot more context from the paper. Also videos should be a lot more comprehensible to laypeople than Bostrom papers.
I think the question of whether the video will be net negative on the margin is complicated. A more relevant question that is easier to answer is “is it reasonable to think that a higher quality video could be made for a reasonable additional amount of effort and would that be clearly better on net to have given the costs and benefits?”
I think the answer to this is “yes” and if we use that as the counterfactual rather than no video at all, it seems clear that you should target producing that video, even if your existing video is positive on net relative to no video.
Oh sure, without a doubt, if there is a better video to be made with little additional effort, making that video is obviously better, no denying that.
I asked that question because you said:
And that’s way more worrying than “this video could be significantly improved with little effort”. At least I would like to start with a “do no harm” policy. Like, if the channel does harm then the channel ought to be nuked if the harm is large enough. If the channel has just room for improvement that’s a different kettle of fish entirely.
Gotcha. I don’t actually have a strong opinion on the net negative question. I worded my comment poorly.