in the blogpost discusses Dan Luu’s evaluations compared to Arb’s evaluations etc and why he thinks EA/LTist work is closer to that of past futurists than to e.g. superforecasters. I was originally planning to quote it but a) it’s very long and b) I couldn’t quickly come up with a good summary.
in the blogpost discusses Dan Luu’s evaluations compared to Arb’s evaluations etc and why he thinks EA/LTist work is closer to that of past futurists than to e.g. superforecasters. I was originally planning to quote it but a) it’s very long and b) I couldn’t quickly come up with a good summary.