I worry that your bounties are mostly just you paying people to say things you already believe about those topics
This is a fair complaint and roughly the reason I haven’t put out the actual bounties yet—because I’m worried that they’re a bit too skewed. I’m planning to think through this more carefully before I do; okay to DM you some questions?
I think it is extremely easy to imagine the left/Democrat wing of AI safety becoming concerned with AI concentrating power, if it hasn’t already
It is not true that all people with these sort of concerns only care private power and not the state either. Dislike of Palantir’s nat sec ties is a big theme for a lot of these people, and many of them don’t like the nat sec-y bits of the state very much either.
I definitely agree with you with regard to corporate power (and see dislike of Palantir as an extension of that). But a huge part of the conflict driving the last election was “insiders” versus “outsiders”—to the extent that even historically Republican insiders like the Cheneys backed Harris. And it’s hard for insiders to effectively oppose the growth of state power. For instance, the “govt insider” AI governance people I talk to tend to be the ones most strongly on the “AI risk as anarchy” side of the divide, and I take them as indicative of where other insiders will go once they take AI risk seriously.
But I take your point that the future is uncertain and I should be tracking the possibility of change here.
(This is not a defense of the current administration, it is very unclear whether they are actually effectively opposing the growth of state power, or seizing it for themselves, or just flailing.)
This is a fair complaint and roughly the reason I haven’t put out the actual bounties yet—because I’m worried that they’re a bit too skewed. I’m planning to think through this more carefully before I do; okay to DM you some questions?
I definitely agree with you with regard to corporate power (and see dislike of Palantir as an extension of that). But a huge part of the conflict driving the last election was “insiders” versus “outsiders”—to the extent that even historically Republican insiders like the Cheneys backed Harris. And it’s hard for insiders to effectively oppose the growth of state power. For instance, the “govt insider” AI governance people I talk to tend to be the ones most strongly on the “AI risk as anarchy” side of the divide, and I take them as indicative of where other insiders will go once they take AI risk seriously.
But I take your point that the future is uncertain and I should be tracking the possibility of change here.
(This is not a defense of the current administration, it is very unclear whether they are actually effectively opposing the growth of state power, or seizing it for themselves, or just flailing.)