Can people get value from simple estimates? Definitely yes, and e.g., like in the case of the expected value of a list of careers, the estimates don’t even have to be that complicated
Can people get value from Squiggle specifically? I’m betting on yes, but this is still to be seen, and we’re still relatively in the early days. Lmk if you want me to quantify this more precisely (e.g., improving decisions worth X million by Y percent in the next T years)
So two questions here:
Can people get value from simple estimates? Definitely yes, and e.g., like in the case of the expected value of a list of careers, the estimates don’t even have to be that complicated
Can people get value from Squiggle specifically? I’m betting on yes, but this is still to be seen, and we’re still relatively in the early days. Lmk if you want me to quantify this more precisely (e.g., improving decisions worth X million by Y percent in the next T years)