My lived experience is that most of the papers I care about (even excluding safety-related papers) come from the US. There are lots of reasons that both of these could be true, but for the sake of improving AGI-related governance, I think my lived experience is a much better measure of the thing we actually care about (which is something like “which region does good AGI-related thinking”).
Are you mainly referring to technical papers, or does your statement consider work from folks at FHI, CSER, CFI, etc.?
I was excluding governance papers, because it seems like the relevant question is “will AI development happen in Europe or elsewhere”, and governance papers provide ~no evidence for or against that.