Do you think lots of money will just be given to EA-related charities such as the Against Malaria Foundation, the Future of Life Institute, and so on (that sounds plausible to me) or do you think lots of money will also be given to meta-EA, EA infrastructure, EA community building, EA funds, that sort of thing? It’s the second part that I’m doubting.
I suppose a lot of it comes down to what specifically Daniela Amodei and Holden Karnofsky decide to do if their family has their big liquidity event, and that’s hard to predict. Given Karnofsky’s career history, he doesn’t seem like the kind of guy to want to just outsource his family’s philanthropy to EA funds or something like that.
lots of money will also be given to meta-EA, EA infrastructure, EA community building, EA funds, that sort of thing?
You’re probably doubting this because you don’t think it’s a good way to spend money. But that doesn’t mean that the Anthropic employees agree with you.
The not super serious answer would be: US universities are well-funded in part because rich alumni like to fund it. There might be similar reasons why Anthropic employees might want to fund EA infrastructure/​community building.
If there is an influx of money into ‘that sort of thing’ in 2026/​2027, I’d expect it to look different to the 2018-2022 spending in these areas (e.g. less general longtermist focused, more AI focused, maybe more decentralised, etc.).
Different in what ways? Edit: You kind of answered this in your edit, but what I’m getting at is: SBF’s giving was indiscriminate and disorganized. Do you think the Anthropic nouveau riche will give money as freely to random people in EA?
I’m also thinking that Daniela Amodei said this about effective altruism earlier this year:
I’m not the expert on effective altruism. I don’t identify with that terminology. My impression is that it’s a bit of an outdated term.
Maybe it was just a clumsy, off-the-cuff comment. But it makes me go: hmm.
Given Karnofsky’s career history, he doesn’t seem like the kind of guy to want to just outsource his family’s philanthropy to EA funds or something like that.
He was leading the Open Philanthropy arm that was primarily responsible for funding many of the things you list here:
or do you think lots of money will also be given to meta-EA, EA infrastructure, EA community building, EA funds, that sort of thing
Do you think lots of money will just be given to EA-related charities such as the Against Malaria Foundation, the Future of Life Institute, and so on (that sounds plausible to me) or do you think lots of money will also be given to meta-EA, EA infrastructure, EA community building, EA funds, that sort of thing? It’s the second part that I’m doubting.
I suppose a lot of it comes down to what specifically Daniela Amodei and Holden Karnofsky decide to do if their family has their big liquidity event, and that’s hard to predict. Given Karnofsky’s career history, he doesn’t seem like the kind of guy to want to just outsource his family’s philanthropy to EA funds or something like that.
You’re probably doubting this because you don’t think it’s a good way to spend money. But that doesn’t mean that the Anthropic employees agree with you.
The not super serious answer would be: US universities are well-funded in part because rich alumni like to fund it. There might be similar reasons why Anthropic employees might want to fund EA infrastructure/​community building.
If there is an influx of money into ‘that sort of thing’ in 2026/​2027, I’d expect it to look different to the 2018-2022 spending in these areas (e.g. less general longtermist focused, more AI focused, maybe more decentralised, etc.).
Different in what ways? Edit: You kind of answered this in your edit, but what I’m getting at is: SBF’s giving was indiscriminate and disorganized. Do you think the Anthropic nouveau riche will give money as freely to random people in EA?
I’m also thinking that Daniela Amodei said this about effective altruism earlier this year:
Maybe it was just a clumsy, off-the-cuff comment. But it makes me go: hmm.
She’s gonna give her money to meta-EA?
He was leading the Open Philanthropy arm that was primarily responsible for funding many of the things you list here:
That’s a really good point!
I guess my next thought is: are we worried about Holden Karnofsky corrupting effective altruism? Because if so, I have bad news…