One possibility is that either the plausibility of AGI being developed soon is smaller than we think, or the danger it imposes is smaller than we think. This is far from the only explanation though.
Yea; I think this fits into response 1, “Companies saying they are making AGI are ridiculously overconfident”.
I think it’s pretty clear that almost everyone outside of EAs + AGI developers are very skeptical of AGI. Very arguably, they’re the ones who are correct. (Personally, I’m in-between, I just mean to point out the discrepancy)
One possibility is that either the plausibility of AGI being developed soon is smaller than we think, or the danger it imposes is smaller than we think. This is far from the only explanation though.
Yea; I think this fits into response 1, “Companies saying they are making AGI are ridiculously overconfident”.
I think it’s pretty clear that almost everyone outside of EAs + AGI developers are very skeptical of AGI. Very arguably, they’re the ones who are correct. (Personally, I’m in-between, I just mean to point out the discrepancy)