Yes, that sounds roughly right. I hadn’t thought about the value for communicating with broader audiences.
Just to check, I assume you mean that there’d be a lot of value in a research project that would cause most people to revise that estimate to (say) 0.1%, if indeed the best estimate is (say) 0.1%, and that wouldn’t cause such a revision otherwise?
Yes, that’s what I meant.
(I think my own estimate is somewhere between 0.1% and 10% FWIW, but also feels quite unstable and like I don’t trust that number much.)
Yes, that sounds roughly right. I hadn’t thought about the value for communicating with broader audiences.
Yes, that’s what I meant.
(I think my own estimate is somewhere between 0.1% and 10% FWIW, but also feels quite unstable and like I don’t trust that number much.)