Yeah, I agree on priors & some arguments about feedback loops, although note that I don’t really have relevant experience. But I remember hearing someone try to defend something like the opposite claim to me in some group setting where I wasn’t able to ask the follow-up questions I wanted to ask — so now I don’t remember what their main arguments were and don’t know if I should change my opinion.
I expect a bunch of more rationalist-type people disagree with this claim, FWIW. But I also think that they heavily overestimate the value of the types of conceptual research I’m talking about here.
Yeah, I agree on priors & some arguments about feedback loops, although note that I don’t really have relevant experience. But I remember hearing someone try to defend something like the opposite claim to me in some group setting where I wasn’t able to ask the follow-up questions I wanted to ask — so now I don’t remember what their main arguments were and don’t know if I should change my opinion.
I expect a bunch of more rationalist-type people disagree with this claim, FWIW. But I also think that they heavily overestimate the value of the types of conceptual research I’m talking about here.