+1 to the congratulations from JP! I may have mentioned this before, but I considered your forecasts and comments for covidy questions to be the highest-quality on Metaculus, especially back when we were both very active.
You may not have considered it worth your time in the end, but I still think it’s good for EAs to do things that on the face of it seem fairly hard, and develop better self models and models of the world as a result.
+1 to the congratulations from JP! I may have mentioned this before, but I considered your forecasts and comments for covidy questions to be the highest-quality on Metaculus, especially back when we were both very active.
You may not have considered it worth your time in the end, but I still think it’s good for EAs to do things that on the face of it seem fairly hard, and develop better self models and models of the world as a result.